2021 British Open odds: Open Championship picks, predictions from computer model that nailed Jon Rahm’s win

With the U.S. Open now in the rearview mirror, the sprint to the 2021 Open Championship is underway, as the last major of the year will tee off Thursday, July 15. Traveling across the pond to Royal St George’s Golf Club in England is a trip many golfers are looking forward to after last year’s Open Championship was cancelled due to the coronavirus pandemic. The Open Championship 2021 will be the 149th edition of the tournament and the 51st to take place on English soil.Irishman Shane Lowry is the defending champion after having won the Claret Jug in 2019, but he enters the 2021 Open Championship field as a 40-1 long shot at William Hill Sportsbook. Jon Rahm, fresh off his first major championship at the U.S. Open, is the 9-1 favorite in the 2021 Open Championship odds. Other 2021 Open Championship contenders include Rory McIlroy (11-1), Dustin Johnson (12-1), Bryson DeChambeau (14-1) and Brooks Koepka (14-1). Before locking in your 2021 Open Championship picks, be sure to see the latest golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it’s up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. At the 2021 U.S. Open, McClure’s model was all over Jon Rahm’s first career major championship victory at 10-1 from the start. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner at that point. The result: Rahm birdied the 17th and 18th holes in dramatic fashion to send his backers straight to the pay window. At the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing. McClure’s best bets netted over $450 at the Masters.In addition, McClure was all over Daniel Berger’s win at +1400 in his best bets at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February. McClure also nailed Viktor Hovland’s (+2500) victory in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. That was one of many huge calls he’s made in the past several months.

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returnsNow that the 2021 Open Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 Open Championship leaderboard and Open Championship 2021 expert picks.The model’s top 2021 Open Championship predictions One major surprise the model is calling for at the Open Championship 2021: Bryson DeChambeau, a major champion and one of the top favorites, struggles mightily doesn’t even crack the top 10. DeChambeau has been one of the hottest players on tour this season, finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2020 U.S. Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The eight-time PGA Tour champion continues to crush the ball off the tee, averaging over 320 yards per drive, which ranks first on tour. DeChambeau’s length off the tee also has him ranked in the top 15 in birdie average, scoring average and strokes gained tee-to-green.However, DeChambeau is hitting fewer than 55 percent of fairways off the tee this season, which can cause plenty of trouble at a major championship. His inability to find the fairway off the tee has resulted in DeChambeau finishing outside the top 25 in five of his last seven starts. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2021 Open Championship field.Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 20-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Over his last eight events, Thomas’ best finish was 19th and he’s finished just two tournaments under par. However, you should look at Thomas’ entire 2020-21 PGA Tour season, which includes a Players Championship win and four other top-10s.

Thomas’ last appearance at the Open Championship was his best finish ever, as he tied for 11th in 2019. His game is well suited for Royal St. George’s since the par-70 course has just two par-fives and 12 par-fours. While Thomas’ par-five scoring average (4.58) ranks 31st on tour, his par-four scoring average (3.98) is eighth. Thomas simply has too much talent to pass up for your 2021 Open Championship bets, according to the model.How to make 2021 Open Championship picksThe model is also targeting five other golfers with 2021 Open Championship odds of 20-1 or higher make a surprising run, including include two massive long shots higher than 35-1 that would net any bettor an epic payday. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.So who will win the Open Championship 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed seven golf majors, including Jon Rahm’s epic U.S. Open victory.

2021 Open Championship oddsJon Rahm 9-1Rory McIlroy 11-1Dustin Johnson 12-1Bryson DeChambeau 14-1Brooks Koepka 14-1Jordan Spieth 18-1Justin Thomas 20-1Xander Schauffele 20-1Tommy Fleetwood 28-1 Louis Oosthuizen 28-1Tyrrell Hatton 28-1Patrick Cantlay 30-1Hideki Matsuyama 30-1Adam Scott 33-1Justin Rose 33-1Shane Lowry 40-1Viktor Hovland 40-1Paul Casey 40-1Webb Simpson 40-1Patrick Reed 40-1Tony Finau 40-1Collin Morikawa 40-1Matthew Fitzpatrick 45-1Daniel Berger 50-1Sergio Garcia 50-1Scottie Scheffler 50-1Garrick Higgo 50-1Lee Westwood 50-1Phil Mickelson 50-1Will Zalatoris 50-1Rickie Fowler 50-1Jason Day 50-1Cameron Smith 60-1Joaquin Niemann 66-1Matt Kuchar 66-1Sam Burns 66-1Marc Leishman 66-1Francesco Molinari 66-1Henrik Stenson 66-1Harris English 66-1Sung-Jae Im 66-1Robert MacIntyre 66-1Branden Grace 70-1Matthew Wolff 80-1Danny Willett 80-1Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80-1Abraham Ancer 80-1Gary Woodland 80-1Victor Perez 100-1Rafa Cabrera Bello 100-1Alex Noren 100-1Graeme McDowell 100-1Ian Poulter 100-1Matt Wallace 100-1Max Homa 100-1Martin Kaymer 100-1Bubba Watson 125-1Tom Lewis 125-1Brandt Snedeker 125-1Corey Conners 125-1Eddie Pepperell 125-1Stewart Cink 125-1Bernd Wiesberger 125-1Hao-Tong Li 125-1Jason Kokrak 125-1Thomas Pieters 125-1Matthias Schwab 150-1Billy Horschel 150-1Zach Johnson 150-1Charl Schwartzel 150-1Thorbjorn Olesen 150-1Andy Sullivan 150-1Kevin Na 150-1Si-Woo Kim 150-1Padraig Harrington 150-1Kevin Kisner 150-1Byeong-Hun An 150-1Erik van Rooyen 150-1Matt Jones 150-1Mike Lorenzo-Vera 200-1Brian Harman 200-1Emiliano Grillo 200-1Aaron Rai 200-1Marcus Armitage 200-1Andrew Johnston 200-1Charley Hoffman 200-1Russell Knox 200-1Keegan Bradley 200-1Joost Luiten 200-1Dylan Frittelli 200-1Ryan Palmer 200-1Cameron Champ 200-1Sebastian Munoz 200-1Andrew Putnam 225-1Kurt Kitayama 250-1Chez Reavie 250-1Jim Furyk 250-1Jason Dufner 250-1Sung-Hoon Kang 250-1Jazz Janewattananond 250-1Scott Piercy 250-1Lucas Bjerregaard 250-1Ryan Moore 250-1Jimmy Walker 250-1Charles Howell 250-1Adam Hadwin 250-1Joel Dahmen 250-1Lucas Glover 250-1Matthew Southgate 250-1Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250-1Paul Waring 250-1Benjamin Hebert 250-1Aaron Wise 250-1Ryan Fox 250-1Jorge Campillo 250-1Keith Mitchell 250-1Romain Langasque 250-1Justin Harding 250-1Luke List 250-1J.B. Holmes 250-1Marcus Kinhult 250-1Rory Sabbatini 250-1C.T. Pan 300-1Takumi Kanaya 300-1Danny Lee 300-1Shaun Norris 300-1Shugo Imahira 300-1Ernie Els 500-1Darren Clarke 500-1Bernhard Langer 500-1Paul Lawrie 500-1John Daly 1000-1Jaco Ahlers 1000-1David Duval 1500-1Mark Calcavecchia 2000-1Todd Hamilton 2000-1

Source link