The American Express 2023 odds, picks, field: Surprising PGA predictions from model that’s nailed 8 majors

After two events in Hawaii, the PGA Tour will begin its California swing with the 2023 American Express at PGA West in La Quinta, Calif., on Thursday. The tournament began back in 1960 and past champions include Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson, Fred Couples, Arnold Palmer and Jack Nicklaus. Rahm won at PGA West in 2018 when it was called the CareerBuilder Challenge and the No. 4 player in the Official World Golf Rankings has been top 15 in each of his last three trips to PGA West for The American Express.Rahm is listed as the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook, but No. 5 Patrick Cantlay also has a great track record (three consecutive top 10s including a runner-up finish) at PGA West and he’s listed at 19-2. Scottie Scheffler and Tony Finau have both enjoyed top-five finishes here in the last three years and they’re listed at 11-1 and 14-1, respectively. Before locking in your 2023 American Express picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm (+800) to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.Now that The American Express 2023 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 American Express predictions One major surprise the model is calling for at The American Express 2023: Cantlay, an eight-time PGA Tour champion and one of the favorites at +950, stumbles this week and fails to crack the top-five. Cantlay secured a runner-up finish at this event in 2021 after shooting a 61 in the final round at PGA West’s Stadium Course.However, Cantlay enters this week’s event ranked 133rd in strokes gained: approach the green (-.139) and 132nd in strokes gained: around-the-green (-.099). He also ranks 100th on the PGA Tour in approaches from inside 100 yards. The inability to score from close range could be his downfall this week. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2023 American Express field.Another surprise: Cameron Young, a 21-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Young is currently ranked 17th in the OWGR after winning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year honors in 2021-22.

Young had a pair of top-three finishes in major championships during his rookie season and managed five other top-three finishes overall in the wraparound campaign. He ranked second on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: off-the-tee (0.914) last season and that advantage from the teeing ground should come in handy at PGA West. See who else to pick here. How to make 2023 American Express picksThe model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 21-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s PGA picks here.So who will win The American Express 2023? And which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 American Express odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 American Express leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including last year’s Masters.

2023 American Express odds, fieldSee full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900 Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H. Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000

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